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Berend Schotanus's avatar

Nice and balanced story!

I think the main attraction of China right now is the counter balance it provides against Trump. As Trump moves towards Putinism, it’s at least worth the effort to consider whether China is really as bad as we always thought it was.

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Nathan Smith's avatar

For China to "be" the future isn't in itself meaningful. China has a future, as do other countries.

More meaningful is to say:

1. The future world will have a more predominating influence by China; or

2. The future world will look like China.

The post provides a persuasive and welcome argument against (2). (1) may still hold, But as a fear, it's somewhat overblown, since a more powerful China won't necessarily try to export, or succeed in exporting, the things that are most concerning about China as a country.

Technological leadership by China isn't problematic, except in so far as it enables China to engaging and win aggressive wars. Inventions are by nature public goods. If China perfect drone delivery, and then America adopts it, we still get delivery drones. Other than national pride, what's wrong with that? I'd like America to lead in technological progress because I think we have the resources to benefit all mankind that way. But if China invents great new technologies that we can use, I'll thank them!

There's a lot of gratuitous fight picking in this space.

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