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DougAz's avatar

Brilliant. So many Conservative pundits with only Ivory Tower business experience keep looking at just ports and blaming Unions. This myopia is just punditry gone wrong.

Glad to see real discussion of the Core Supply Chain Issues:

A. It's a National, Strategic Federal concern to have some hand and oversight coupled with Strategic investments.

B. It's more a failure of independent ROE maximizing market actors..ie Adam Smith fails here in a literal sense.

C. Just In Time, leaving no flex capacity to absorb shock is too brittle. But..this is what independent profit maximizing self interested actors do. Usually fine. But. Fails when interdependence is so frail.

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scott kirkpatrick's avatar

This is a wonderful article. And a great area for future study, in case you ever want to go to a long form treatment.

Logjams, occurring at multiple places in an extended complex system are the result, not only of just "removing the shock absorbers," but of inherent frustration that optimizing each piece in isolation causes to the pieces of the system that were supposed to interface with it. This showed up years ago (KGV, Science 220, 671-680 (1983)) in the automation of various stages of computer design. The solution is not to fix the issues individually (that makes things worse somewhere else), but to allocate appropriate relief all across the system so that some overall measure of production, throughput, or whatever gets maximized. To do this, you have to own the whole problem, which was possible when the problem was making denser computer chips or more efficient computer networks. And the physics of "simulated annealing," the most generalizable approach to this ubiquitous problem, focuses not on optimization at each interface but on understanding tradeoffs that become possible when everything is moving along well. Amsterdam shows the difference that results from managing a country's infrastructure as a whole. Since I don't think that anyone is going to take control of the world's or even the US's transport issues very soon, this looks like a great case for states to step in. CA or NJ? Or perhaps this is a chance for the US, AUS and the Asian "all-but-China" ports to reassemble the TPP coalition?

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