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Nicholas Weininger's avatar

Great interview. I am looking forward to seeing whether a couple of points are addressed in the book:

1. The relative ease of soldier-mindset solutions vs "healthier" solutions to motivation problems. Like, it's great that Bezos and Musk could convince themselves that their long shots were worth taking, rather than deluding themselves that they had a sure thing. But I think most of us find motivating ourselves to take high-EV low-probability gambles much harder than deluding ourselves about the probabilities. I am influenced here by my experience as a graduate student trying to do mathematical research, which is all about trying a lot proof strategies that probably won't work to find the few that do work, and which I found very dispiriting despite my love of math.

2. Practical strategies for reducing the social desirability bias that so often drives a soldier mindset. I think many people are embedded in communities which they value highly, which are important to their life projects and have a lot of really smart and capable and well-intentioned people in them, and in which there sadly are a bunch of empirical beliefs that you basically cannot publicly question without being ostracized from the community. It's not easy to weigh the social belonging vs truth seeking tradeoffs in that case, and "just change your friend group and coworker group to be all rationalists instead" is easier said than done.

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Heshy's avatar

Love this interview. Also love that you’re bringing Galef to a wider audience.

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